Notes at the intersection of psychology, consumer behaviour, and markets.

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Exploration of markets & strategy from a psychological lens.

It starts with a single observation

I start from a single thought: one person, one data point, one behavior that doesn't quite fit.  And follow it till it becomes a business argument.


I love exploring why consumers & markets behave as they do. I find it endlessly surprising how much of what we call strategy & planning is really psychology with a budget.

About Me

HOW THIS TENDS TO WORK

01. Start from one true thing.

 A single observation, or a data point that doesn't fit. Sometimes it's something a customer says, and it reframes a brand entirely. The narrower the better. 

02. Ask what's actually driving it.

Consumer behaviour is almost always more interesting than the surface reading. Psychology is usually the answer (or at least the start of one). This often leads to the data (and the insights that it supports).

03. Let the marketing strategy follow.

If the insight is real, the marketing and selling arguments write themselves. 

04. Test it against the data.

Good insight should survive contact with evidence. Data is meant to sharpen, validate, and even challenge ideas. And if examined carefully, it may well generate the insight that takes back to Step 01. 

Consumer Psychology

The lens everything goes through.

Market Approach and Strategy.

Where the thinking lands.

Data Analysis

The evidence layer. Excel, modeling, research.

SELECTED WORK

Each of the studies here started from a single observation and zoomed out to build outwards. These span brand, communication, consumer markets, and revenue growth. None of this is by design. I only followed where the questions led. 


Go To Studies Main Page

Study 1. Arc'teryx: Consumer Insight Study


The Self-Confirmation Study
Arc'teryx customers don't buy to signal who they want to be. They buy to confirm who they already are. And what that means for growth targets in North America.


Observed: inbound customer calls as Arc'teryx GSR

Study 2. Arc'teryx: Campaign Architecture


The Standard 

The strategy translated into a campaign. One platform truth: how seriously you approach the things you care about. two articulations. 


Built from: Study 01 insight + Arc'teryx marketing analysis

Study 5. Live Nation: Customer Engagement And Growth Strategy

The fan who disappears
Live Nation has over 500 million fan accounts. Between shows, the fan's world does not contain the company.  Five psychological frameworks explain why. Also, an exploration of what a year-long fan strategy could look like.


Observed: Own, and peer group interactions with the brand as regular concert goers.

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Want to ask me something? Have an idea for a study? Contact Me: 1TrueThing@gmail.com 


Note: All studies are based on publicly available information, independent analysis, and personal observations. 

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